What we read
Each report is built on demand from public Robinhood Chain data. There is no indexer and no private data. For one token we read its Pons V2 launch record, every trade on its bonding curve, every swap in its graduated Uniswap v4 pool, every transfer of the token, and the deployer wallet’s outgoing transactions in the week before launch. Sources: Blockscout, the Robinhood Chain RPC, and CoinGecko for the ETH to USD rate.
When a token is dead
A token is dead when all three are true: its price is at or below 10% of its peak, the peak is at least 48 hours old, and it has no pulse. No pulse means fewer than 10 trades in the last 72 hours, or volume in that window under 5% of its best day.
A token that never raised 10% of its graduation threshold and has had no pulse for 72 hours is also dead.
If the price is gone but the other conditions are not met, the patient is critical and no report is filed. If the price is above 10% of peak, the patient is alive.
Time of death
The first minute after the peak when the price closed at or below 10% of peak, and never again closed above 25% of it. The collapse window is the 15 minutes with the steepest fall between the peak and the time of death. Sales are examined from 60 minutes before that window to 15 minutes after it.
Cause of death
Each cause is a fixed rule. A token that never raised a tenth of its target is stillborn, whatever else happened. Otherwise, among the seller groups that pass their rules (early wallets, the deployer, large holders selling together), the group that sold the largest share around the collapse is named the cause, and the rest are contributing. Patterns such as a post-graduation collapse, a stampede or starvation lead only when no seller group does. Nothing passing means undetermined. See every rule.
What the AI is allowed to do
The rules produce a list of fact sentences. A language model may rewrite them in the house voice. It may not add anything. Every number it writes must already be in the fact list, it may not name addresses, and it may not use words that imply motive or wrongdoing. If any check fails, the report prints the rule sentences as they are.
What a report is not
A report describes what wallets did on-chain and when. It does not say why, who controls a wallet, or whether anyone did anything wrong. It is not financial advice. Wallet roles such as “deployer” or “early wallet” describe on-chain behavior only.
Corrections
Reports can be wrong. Data sources have gaps, and rules have edges. If a report misstates something, request a review. Corrected reports keep a note of what changed.