How they die.
Every cause is a fixed rule applied to on-chain data. When several seller groups pass their rules, the one that sold the largest share around the collapse is named the cause of death, and the others are listed as contributing. When nothing passes, the cause stays undetermined.
Early wallet exit
1 on fileThe wallets that bought in the first seconds sold into the collapse.
Rule · Wallets that bought within the first 3 seconds, or among the first 20 buyers, make up at least 40% of sell volume in the collapse window.
Creator exit
1 on fileThe deployer wallet sold most of what it held before or as the price broke.
Rule · The deployer wallet sold at least 50% of the tokens it received, and at least 25% was sold by the end of the collapse window.
Simultaneous exit
0 on fileSeveral of the largest holders sold inside the same short window.
Rule · At least 3 of the top 10 holders at peak, not counting early wallets or the deployer, each sold at least 50% of their balance within the same 15 minutes, together making up at least 40% of sell volume in the collapse window.
Post-graduation collapse
15 on fileIt collapsed within hours of graduating, mostly sold by wallets that bought on the curve.
Rule · The collapse began within 6 hours of graduation, and wallets that bought on the bonding curve make up at least 40% of sell volume in the collapse window.
Stampede
3 on fileHundreds of wallets ran for the exit at once. No single group led the way.
Rule · At least 50 different wallets sold around the collapse, and the three largest sellers together made up no more than 25% of it.
Starvation
0 on fileNo single moment killed it. The buyers stopped coming.
Rule · No single hour accounts for more than 25% of the decline, and daily volume fell at least 90% from its best day.
Stillborn
0 on fileIt never reached a tenth of its graduation target. It never really lived.
Rule · Never graduated, never raised 10% of its graduation threshold, and stopped trading within 7 days of launch.
Undetermined
7 on fileThe chain shows the death, but no single pattern explains it.
Rule · No cause scored high enough to be named.